New Delhi, May 9: Electioneering has entered the final stage in Karnataka with less than three days left for the state to go to polls. Ahead of the high-stake electoral war, all eyes have turned towards the pre-election surveys in a bid to gauge the electoral mood in the state.

Of the six major opinion polls released in the past couple of months, only one has predicted a full majority government. Four others claim Karnataka would end up electing a hung assembly, with the regional force, Janata Dal (Secular), poised to play the role of kingmaker.

Karnataka Assembly Elections 2018 | A look back at all opinion polls released so far

India Today-Karavi predicts a hung assembly, with Congress holding the edge

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
Congress 96 122 -26
BJP 84 40 +44
JD(S) 38 40 -2
Others 4 4 0

ABP News-CDSD-Lokniti expects no party near the halfway mark

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
Congress 97 122 -25
BJP 84 40 +44
JD(S) 37 40 -3
Others 4 4 0

Republic-Jan Ki Baat is the only survey which claims the BJP could emerge as single-largest

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
BJP 104 40 +84
Congress 74 122 -48
JD(S) 44 40 +4
Others 4 4 0

C-Fore predicts victory for Siddaramaiah-led Congress

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
Congress 124 122 +2
BJP 68 40 -28
JD(S) 21 40 -15
Others 2 4 -2

TV9/C-Voter calls it a close fight

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
Congress 102 122 -20
BJP 96 40 +56
JD(S) 29 40 -11
Others 2 4 -2

Times Now-VMR separates BJP and Congress by inches

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
Congress 90 122 -32
BJP 89 40 +49
JD(S) 40 40 0
Others 4 22 -18

Poll of Polls: Median of all pre-election surveys

The median of all pre-election surveys signal a fractured mandate, with the ruling Congress inching close to the halfway mark of 112. The BJP, despite not expected to dislodge the incumbent Siddaramaiah regime, is slated to improve its tally from 40 in 2013 to over 80 seats in the upcoming polls.

Party Seats Predicted (2018) Seats Won (2013) Segments’ Swing
Congress 101 122 -21
BJP 88 40 +48
JD(S) 32 40 -8
Others 3 4 -1

A more accurate election result prediction could be made on May 12, when the polling will be concluded. Major research agencies are expected to release the exit polls immediately after the voting end at around 5:30 pm on Saturday.

(The above story first appeared on LatestLY on May 09, 2018 11:55 PM IST. For more news and updates on politics, world, sports, entertainment and lifestyle, log on to our website latestly.com).