2019 Lok Sabha Election Results Predictions: National Approval Ratings Expects Hung Verdict With BJP-led NDA Winning 247 Seats, UPA 171
In Uttar Pradesh, the survey predicts a massive setback for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The mahagathbandhan is predicted to win 50 out of the 80 seats.
The National Approval Ratings, one of the major pre-election surveys, has predicted a fractured mandate in the 2019 Lok Sabha polls. The BJP-led NDA is expected to win 247 seats with a vote share of 37.7 per cent, whereas, the Congress-led UPA is predicted to emerge a distant second with 171 seats (32.8 per cent votes). Others or the non-aligned outfits hold key for the next government formation, as they are predicted to win 125 seats (29.5 per cent vote share).
The sole Lok Sabha seats in Sikkim, Lakshadweep Islands and Puducherry are predicted to be retained by the Congress. The parliamentary seat in Nagaland is predicted to be bagged by the NDA.
The BJP-led NDA is predicted to sweep Meghalaya (2) and Manipur (2). In Chandigarh, the BJP is predicted to retain the seat. The sole Lok Sabha constituency in Andaman & Nicobar is expected to be won by the BJP.
In Jammu & Kashmir, the Congress-National Conference alliance holds the edge, the survey claims. The PDP is predicted to be decimated, whereas, the BJP is likely to retain 2 seats in Jammu region.
In Chhattisgarh, the Congress - which emerged to power in the legislative assembly with a brute mandate - is predicted to win 6 of the 11 parliamentary seats. The BJP is predicted to retain 5 constituencies.
In Punjab, the Congress is predicted to win 12 of the 13 parliamentary seats, whereas, the BJP-Shiromani Akali Dal is likely to register victory in 1 constituency.
In Assam, the ruling BJP is likely to retain 9 parliamentary seats, whereas, the Congress would emerge second with 4 seats, he survey claims. The AIUDF is predicted to win 1 constituency.
The state-ruling Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) is predicted to win 16 of the 17 parliamentary seats, whereas, the remaining one - Hyderabad constituency - will be retained by its ally the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen. The Congress and the BJP are unlikely to open their accounts.
In the Left-ruled Kerala, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) is predicted to win 17 of the 20 parliamentary seats, whereas, the CPI(M)-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) will be reduced to three Lok Sabha seats. The BJP will fail to open its account, the survey claims.
The National Approval Ratings hs predicted the BJP to stage its best ever-performance in Odisha, winning 15 Lok Sabha seats, whereas, the ruling BJD is likely to be reduced to 6 constituencies. The Congress, meanwhile, will fail to open its account, the survey claims.
Out of the 25 seats in Andhra Pradesh, the ruling TDP is predicted to be reduced to 11 seats, whereas, the YSR Congress Party is expected to win 14 seats.
The Bharatiya Janata Party is predicted to register a sweeping victory in Gujarat. As per the survey, the BJP will win 24 of the 26 parliamentary seats, with a vote share of 54.2 per cent. The Congress is expected to win 2 seats, with a vote share of 38.9 per cent. In the last elections, the Congress had failed to open its account.
In the 28 Lok Sabha seats of Karnataka, the BJP is predicted to register a victory in 15 constituencies, with a vote-share of 47.6 per cent. The Congress-JD(S) coalition is predicted to be restricted to 13 seats, with a vote share of 42.3 per cent.
The survey predicts the BJP to resurge in Madhya Pradesh, after the recent defeat in assembly elections. The party is expected to win 23 seats, whereas, the Congress is likely to be reduced to 6.
The Congress-DMK alliance is predicted to win all 39 seats in Tamil Nadu, with the ruling AIADMK likely headed towards a rout.
Party
Vote Share
Seats Predicted
Congress-DMK
43.8%
39
AIADMK
26.3%
0
BJP
9.5%
0
Others
20%
0
New Delhi, December 24: The 'National Approval Ratings', considered to be a mood-gauger ahead of the high-stake Lok Sabha elections next year, was released on Monday by news channel Republic World in coordination with research agency C-Voter. Catch live updates of the massive pre-poll survey above.
In Uttar Pradesh, the survey predicts a setback for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The mahagathbandhan sans Congress -- comprising of Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) -- is predicted to win 50 out of the 80 seats in the state. The BJP is likely to retain only 28 constituencies, whereas, the Congress is expected to be restricted to its two bastions - Amethi and Rae Bareli.
In Maharashtra, the pre-election poll predicts the Congress-NCP-Bahujan Vikas Aghadi to hold the edge against the ruling BJP. The Opposition alliance is predicted to win 30 of the 48 parliamentary seats, whereas, the NDA -- Shiv Sena and BJP -- are likely to be reduced to 18 constituencies.
In West Bengal, the Trinamool Congress is likely to maintain its dominance, the survey predicts, but gives the BJP an 8-seat advantage vis-a-vis 2014. The TMC is expected to win 32 of the 42 seats in the state -- four down from the last general elections -- whereas, the BJP's tally will rise from 1 to 9. The Congress is predicted to bag a single seat, whereas, the CPI(M) is headed towards to a complete rout, as per the survey.
In Bihar, the BJP-JD(U)-LJP alliance is predicted to win 35 of the 40 seats, with a combined vote share of 47.4 per cent, whereas, the mahagathbandhan of RJD, Congress, RLSP and HAM-S is expected to be restricted to 5 parliamentary constituencies, with a combined vote share of 38.6 per cent.
(The above story first appeared on LatestLY on Dec 24, 2018 07:19 PM IST. For more news and updates on politics, world, sports, entertainment and lifestyle, log on to our website latestly.com).