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The National Approval Ratings, one of the major pre-election surveys, has predicted a fractured mandate in the 2019 Lok Sabha polls. The BJP-led NDA is expected to win 247 seats with a vote share of 37.7 per cent, whereas, the Congress-led UPA is predicted to emerge a distant second with 171 seats (32.8 per cent votes). Others or the non-aligned outfits hold key for the next government formation, as they are predicted to win 125 seats (29.5 per cent vote share).
Coalition | Vote Share | Seats Predicted |
BJP-led NDA | 37.7% | 247 |
Congress-led UPA | 32.8% | 171 |
Others | 29.5% | 125 |
The sole Lok Sabha seats in Sikkim, Lakshadweep Islands and Puducherry are predicted to be retained by the Congress. The parliamentary seat in Nagaland is predicted to be bagged by the NDA.
The BJP-led NDA is predicted to sweep Meghalaya (2) and Manipur (2). In Chandigarh, the BJP is predicted to retain the seat. The sole Lok Sabha constituency in Andaman & Nicobar is expected to be won by the BJP.
The BJP is predicted to win all the Lok Sabha seats in Goa (2), Uttarakhand (5), Himachal Pradesh (4) and Arunachal Pradesh (2).
In Jammu & Kashmir, the Congress-National Conference alliance holds the edge, the survey claims. The PDP is predicted to be decimated, whereas, the BJP is likely to retain 2 seats in Jammu region.
Party | Vote Share | Seats Predicted |
BJP | 33.7% | 2 |
Congress-NC | 38% | 4 |
PDP | 16% | 0 |
The BJP is predicted to repeat the 2014 mandate in Delhi, winning all 7 parliamentary seats in the state.
Party | Vote Share | Seats Predicted |
BJP | 42% | 7 |
Congress | 27.3% | 0 |
AAP | 26% | 0 |
In Chhattisgarh, the Congress - which emerged to power in the legislative assembly with a brute mandate - is predicted to win 6 of the 11 parliamentary seats. The BJP is predicted to retain 5 constituencies.
Party | Seats Predicted |
Congress | 6 |
BJP | 5 |
JCC/Others | 0 |
In Punjab, the Congress is predicted to win 12 of the 13 parliamentary seats, whereas, the BJP-Shiromani Akali Dal is likely to register victory in 1 constituency.
Party | Vote Share | Seats Predicted |
Congress | 43.3% | 12 |
BJP-Akali Dal | 34.9% | 1 |
AAP | 17.6% | 0 |
In Assam, the ruling BJP is likely to retain 9 parliamentary seats, whereas, the Congress would emerge second with 4 seats, he survey claims. The AIUDF is predicted to win 1 constituency.
Party | Seats Predicted |
BJP | 9 |
Congress | 4 |
AIUDF | 1 |
Others | 0 |
The state-ruling Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) is predicted to win 16 of the 17 parliamentary seats, whereas, the remaining one - Hyderabad constituency - will be retained by its ally the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen. The Congress and the BJP are unlikely to open their accounts.
Party | Seats Predicted |
TRS | 16 |
AIMIM | 1 |
BJP | 0 |
Congress | 0 |
New Delhi, December 24: The 'National Approval Ratings', considered to be a mood-gauger ahead of the high-stake Lok Sabha elections next year, was released on Monday by news channel Republic World in coordination with research agency C-Voter. Catch live updates of the massive pre-poll survey above.
In Uttar Pradesh, the survey predicts a setback for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). The mahagathbandhan sans Congress -- comprising of Samajwadi Party, Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) -- is predicted to win 50 out of the 80 seats in the state. The BJP is likely to retain only 28 constituencies, whereas, the Congress is expected to be restricted to its two bastions - Amethi and Rae Bareli.
In Maharashtra, the pre-election poll predicts the Congress-NCP-Bahujan Vikas Aghadi to hold the edge against the ruling BJP. The Opposition alliance is predicted to win 30 of the 48 parliamentary seats, whereas, the NDA -- Shiv Sena and BJP -- are likely to be reduced to 18 constituencies.
In West Bengal, the Trinamool Congress is likely to maintain its dominance, the survey predicts, but gives the BJP an 8-seat advantage vis-a-vis 2014. The TMC is expected to win 32 of the 42 seats in the state -- four down from the last general elections -- whereas, the BJP's tally will rise from 1 to 9. The Congress is predicted to bag a single seat, whereas, the CPI(M) is headed towards to a complete rout, as per the survey.
In Bihar, the BJP-JD(U)-LJP alliance is predicted to win 35 of the 40 seats, with a combined vote share of 47.4 per cent, whereas, the mahagathbandhan of RJD, Congress, RLSP and HAM-S is expected to be restricted to 5 parliamentary constituencies, with a combined vote share of 38.6 per cent.
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