The poll of polls, after analysing the results of all exit polls, predicts a hung assembly. The median of the five major exit polls claims the BJP could win 102 seats, whereas, the Congress would trail at 92. The JD(S) could play the role of kingmaker.
The exit poll released by Times Now-VMR predicts a hung assembly, with the ruling Congress likely to win 97 seats, followed by the BJP which could bag 94. The JD(S), meanwhile, is expected to be restricted at 28.
The Congress is poised to return to power, claims the exit poll released by India Today-Axis. The party is slated to win 106-118 seats, followed by the BJP which could bag 79-82 constituencies. The JD(S) is expected to be restricted to 22-30 assembly segments.
The Republic-Jan Ki Baat survey claims the BJP would win 95-114 seats, whereas, the Congress would bag 87-99 constituencies. The JD(S) would be restricted to 21-30 seats, the survey claims.
The ABP News-C Voter survey predicts the BJP to win 97-109 seats, whereas, the Congress could bag 87-99 seats. The JD(S), the exit poll claims, could win 25.
Party
Seats Predicted
Vote Share
BJP
97-109
43%
Congress
87-99
42%
JD(S)
21-30
10%
Others
01-08
5%
New Delhi, May 12: Exit poll results of Karnataka assembly elections 2018 were scheduled to be declared following the conclusion of polls at 6pm. Major news channels had tied up with several research agencies to conduct the survey. Stay tuned here for the live news and updates related to the exit poll predictions.
Among the major exit polls which will be declared today, include ABP News-CSDS, Aaj Tak/India Today-Karvy, News 24-Chanakya, TV9-C Voter, Times Now-VMR and Republic-Jan Ki Baat.
To watch the live streaming of exit poll predictions of Aaj Tak/India Today-Karvy, click here. For live streaming of ABP News-CSDS survey, click here.
Although the exit poll outcome should not be treated as a replica of the official results, the surveys end up presenting a grim picture of what would be the results after the Election Commission of India concludes the counting of votes.
What Opinion Polls Had Predicted Ahead of the Elections?
Here is the median of all opinion polls released before the polls:
Party
Seats Predicted (2018)
Seats Won (2013)
Segments’ Swing
Congress
101
122
-21
BJP
88
40
+48
JD(S)
32
40
-8
Others
3
4
-1
Before Karnataka went to polls, five of the six major opinion polls predicted a fractured mandate. Four of the pre-election surveys said the Congress would emerge as the single-largest party, inching close to the halfway mark. Meanwhile, only one opinion poll - released by Republic-Jan Ki Baat - had predicted the BJP to emerge as the single-largest.
(The above story first appeared on LatestLY on May 12, 2018 06:35 PM IST. For more news and updates on politics, world, sports, entertainment and lifestyle, log on to our website latestly.com).