Patna, November 7: The aggregate of most major exit polls suggest a victory for the Mahagathbandhan in the Bihar assembly elections 2020. The post-poll survey outcome is in contradicting most of the pre-election surveys. While the opinion polls had predicted another term for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar despite anti-incumbency factor against him, the exit polls are largely indicating his exit from power. Today's Chanakya Predicts Clear Victory For Grand Alliance With 180 Seats Against 55 For NDA.

The Times Now C-Voter predicted 116 seats for the JD(U)-BJP-led combine, whereas, the Mahagathbandhan was predicted to bag 120 seats -- two short of the halfway majority mark. The survey predicted only one seat for the LJP, and others were expected to win six constituencies.

The Republic Jan Ki Baat survey predicted a strong possibility of the Mahagathbandhan crossing the majority mark. The survey predicted 118-138 seats for the grand alliance, whereas, the BJP-JD(U) coalition was predicted to win 91-117 seats.

The ABP News C-Voter survey predicted 108-131 seats for the RJD-Congress-led alliance, whereas, the NDA was predicted to retain 104-128 seats. Within the grand alliance, the RJD was predicted to bag 81-89 seats, followed 21-29 for the Congress. In the NDA camp, the BJP was predicted to emerge as the larger party with 66-74 seats, followed by 38-46 for the JD(U).

The Today's Chanakya exit poll, which holds the distinct record of making several accurate result predictions over the past decade, predicted a landslide win for the grand alliance. The survey, aired by CNN-News 18, showed the Mahagathbandhan poised for a 180-seat victory, whereas, the NDA was predicted to be restricted at 55 constituencies.

The TV9 Bharatvarsh survey also gave an edge to the Mahagathbandhan, predicting the alliance to win 115-125 seats. The ruling JD(U)-BJP was expected to be restricted at 110-120 constituencies. The survey also predicts 3-5 seats for the LJP and 10-15 seats for others.

The Dainik Jagran exit poll was the only post-poll survey that gave an edge to the BJP-JD(U) alliance. The survey predicted 120-127 seats for the ruling coalition, whereas, the Mahagathbandhan was estimated to be restricted at 71-81 constituencies. The poll also gave 12-23 seats to the LJP and 19-27 seats to others.

The India Today-Axis My India survey, which was the final major exit poll to be released, predicted 139-161 seats for the Mahagathbandhan, followed by 69-91 constituencies for the NDA, 3-5 for the LJP and 3-5 for others including GDSF.

Exit Polls: Poll of Poll Numbers

Survey RJD-Congress-Left BJP-JDU+ Others
Today’s Chanakya-CNN 180 (+/-11) 55 (+/-11) 8 (+/-4)
Times Now-C Voter 120 116 7
Dainik Bhaskar 71-81 120-127 19-27
TV9 Bharatvarsh 115-125 110-120 10-15
Republic-Jan Ki Baat 108-123 91-117 8-23
India Today-Axis My India  139-161  69-91  3-5

The official count of results would begin on November 10 by the Election Commission. The outcome is being keenly observed, as the electoral battle in Bihar was the first polling exercise since the onset of pandemic. In case of NDA victory, Nitish Kumar will be elected as the Chief Minister of Bihar for the seventh time. In case of the grand alliance defeating the incumbent ruling coalition, Tejashwi Yadav will be sworn-in as the CM for the first time.

(The above story first appeared on LatestLY on Nov 07, 2020 09:07 PM IST. For more news and updates on politics, world, sports, entertainment and lifestyle, log on to our website latestly.com).