Stock Markets Forecast: Budget 2021, RBI Policy Major Events to Watch Out For, Say Analysts

New Delhi, Jan 31: Stock markets are expected to remain volatile in this eventful week as the Union Budget, macro data and RBI policy would be keenly watched by investors, say analysts.

The ongoing quarterly earnings season would also be in focus directing the movement of indices.

"Going ahead, markets may continue to remain highly volatile amidst the ongoing earnings season and the Union Budget 2021. Expectations from the Budget are running high," Siddhartha Khemka, Head - Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd said.  Union Budget 2021 Expectations: Here is What to Expect from the Rural Budget Amid Ongoing Farmers' Unrest. 

Quarterly earnings of HDFC, Adani Power, Hero MotoCorp and M&M would remain in focus this week. The Economic Survey 2020-21 was tabled in the Lok Sabha on Friday.

The Survey projected that India's economy is likely to grow by 11 per cent in the fiscal year beginning April 1 as a vaccine drive and rebound in consumer demand help it emerge from the carnage inflicted by a strict coronavirus lockdown. Budget 2021 Expectations on Cryptocurrencies in India: Government May Ban Private Players Like Bitcoin and Dogecoin; RBI to Come up With Its Own Digital Currency.

The rebound will follow an estimated 7.7 per cent contraction in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the current financial year, the document said.

According to the survey, the "V-shaped recovery is supported by COVID vaccination drive."

"Now all eyes would be on the Union Budget scheduled on Monday. We believe that the Budget would focus on reviving growth and any disappointment on that front would lead to further correction in the markets," said Ajit Mishra, VP - Research, Religare Broking Ltd.

Driving market sentiments would also be announcements of PMI data for the manufacturing and services sector this week. Also, RBI interest rate decision on Friday is another major event that would drive domestic market sentiments.

Sumeet Bagadia, Executive Director, Choice Broking said, "Going ahead investors will keenly watch the Union Budget which is to be presented on 1st February 2021."

Auto companies would also remain in focus amid monthly sales data announcement on Monday.

In the last week, the 30-share BSE benchmark tumbled 2,592.77 points or 5.30 per cent due to profit-booking ahead of the Union Budget. Global trends will also be monitored besides investment trend of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs).

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